Booking early-season NFL football odds
You’ve slogged through the summer months and now the wait is over – for you and your clients. Football season hits full speed when the NFL kicks off this week, which should have you very busy. But not to worry you are about to make money on sports betting.TheBestPerHead.com has you covered, and not just with our fantastic odds and interface, but also with a reliable system that can handle Week 1 traffic and experienced customer service that will take care of your valued clients.
We’ll handle the hard stuff so you can focus on your book. If you’re looking for some tips into managing your action for the early stretch of the NFL season, here are some pointers that will make Tuesdays – AKA collection day – the best day of the week.
Pad the favorites
We’re coming a NFL season in which the best teams covered consistently and the bad teams, well they were really bad. The Top 5 teams in terms of wins finished with a combined 52-28 ATS record, covering 65 percent of the time. That wasn’t great for bookies, who consistently take more public money on these elite squads.
To make matters worse, the Bottom 5 teams in the NFL last season barfed out a combined 27-51-2 ATS mark, covering only 34 percent of the time. The public loved to go against those rotten teams, and again, bookies got killed.
So, with those trends in mind, bettors will be hot and heavy on the chalk and looking to bet against the bad squads. You may want to pad your favorites an extra half point or and be bullish on moving them down, knowing that there will be big money on the top teams.
Don’t knee-jerk on injuries
In the first couple weeks of the NFL season there are always a handful of notable injuries to key players. As bookies, you don’t want to make too much of an adjustment when it comes to setting your odds or taking action. Few players – outside of quarterbacks – are worth more than a 1.5 points.
Take Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott for example. Dallas was a 5-point favorite hosting New York in the Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 1. When Elliott was suspended, the line dropped to -3.5, but once he was ruled in for the opener the line didn’t go back up. It stayed put at -3.5.
Be coy with your adjustments – or let our talented oddsmakers take the reigns – and let your action dictate just how much those injured players are worth. If a top receiver goes down, you may drop the spread for the next game by half a point. Then your bettors will drive that move another point. You don’t want to move too much, opening up exposure on the other side.
It’s week-to-week
Every bookie, no matter how experienced, will have a rough week. Some big liability may not swing your way, sharp bettors may hit their wagers, or favorites may rule the board. It happens. But keep faith. This is a long play and as they say, “The House Always Win”.
Don’t panic if you have a bad week early into the season. Don’t trim your limits or start offering unfair odds to your clients. A good week for the players is not always a bad thing. It means they’ll be coming back stronger next week with more money on the games – more for you to win back.
Thebestperhead.com has been offering the premier pay-per-head service for a while now and always have our agents’ best interest in mind. We’re strategically set up to boost your handle and maximize your hold (win percentage). So don’t sweat a bad week. We have your back.
